FOREX INVESTORS BUZZ EURUSD Closed lower The EURUSD increased 0.0073 or 0.64% to 1.1468 on Friday July 14 from 1.1395 in the previous trading session. Historically, the Euro Dollar Exchange Rate – EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.87 in July of 1973 and a record low of 0.70 in February of 1985. The euro was only introduced as a currency on the first of January of 1999. However, synthetic historical prices going back much further can be modeled if we consider a weighted average of the previous currencies.
EUR/USD breached 1.1382 minor support but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Firm break of 1.1382 will suggest short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1182). But downside should be contained by 1.1118 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1489 will extend recent rally from 1.0339 to 1.1615 key resistance next.
In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1763). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.
|1.15||1.14||1.87||0.70||1957 – 2017||Daily|
Click here for reuse options!