AUDUSD Forex Exchange Opened decreased 0.0016 or 0.20% to 0.7871 on Friday August 11 from 0.7886 in the previous trading session. Historically, the Australian Dollar reached an all time high of 1.10 in July of 2011 and a record low of 0.48 in April of 2001.
AUD/USD’s pull back from 0.8065 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.7785 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.7328 to 0.8065 at 0.7783). But we’d expect strong support there to bring rebound. Above 0.7948 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8065. But decisive break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more consolidative trading in near term.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rise. There is no confirmation of trend reversal yet and we’ll continue to treat such rebound as a corrective pattern. But in any case, break of 55 month EMA (now at 0.8100) will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451. Break of 0.7328 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise is now expected.
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