CURRENCY INVESTORS Euro Dollar Exchange Closed The EURUSD increased 0.0005 or 0.04% to 1.1476 on Monday July 17 from 1.1471 in the previous trading session. Historically, the Euro Dollar Exchange Rate – EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.87 in July of 1973 and a record low of 0.70 in February of 1985. The euro was only introduced as a currency on the first of January of 1999. However, synthetic historical prices going back much further can be modeled if we consider a weighted average of the previous currencies.
CURRENCY PAIR EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.1489 might extend. Below 1.1312 will bring deeper fall to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1201). In that case, downside should be contained by 1.1118 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1489 will extend recent rally from 1.0339 to 1.1615 key resistance next.
In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1763). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.
|1.15||1.15||1.87||0.70||1957 – 2017||Daily|